Sunday, April 29, 2012

Charting Last Week (4/23 - 4/27/12)


The Daily Leading Index fell by .78% last week and the Daily Coincident Index stayed at 3.23%.  The Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.

Below are charts of some of the economic releases from last week.  All four indicators charted below show some deterioration in conditions led by New Orders for Durable Goods which fell by 4.2% in March compared to February. 

Both equities and bonds were up last week as equities continued to rally from the oversold territory.  Small cap stocks led the group below with a 2.71% gain for the week.  The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.  The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.   Click here for more details.

Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.

Tuesday, April 24, 2012

Case-Shiller Home Price Index 4/24/12

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index for February 2012 was released today. The 20-City Composite is down 3.45% compared to February 2011 (seasonally adjusted) and is up 0.15% compared to the previous month.  12 of the 20 cities in the Composite-20 were up in February compared to the previous month.



Below is an interactive graph. You can interact with the graph by choosing what to display. The CITY category contains all 20 markets as well as the Composite-10 and Composite-20 index. The choices in the TYPE category are All, Condos, and High, Low and Middle Tiers. The prices of homes in each city are divided into three tiers. Each city has different breakpoints. For example in Las Vegas the Low tier is homes under $107,022 and the High tier is over $165,553. In San Francisco the Low tier is under $314,749 and the high tier is over $585,246. The SA/NSA category allows you to view  Seasonally Adjusted data (SA) and/or Non-Seasonally Adjusted data (NSA). 


If you left click on a category, the chart will update with only data for that item in that category. If you hold the CONTROL button down while left clicking, it will toggle that item on and off while leaving the other items in that category the same allowing you to add or subtract items. If you hold the SHIFT key down while left clicking, it will add all items in between where you clicked and the item you last clicked. You can clear all selections in a category by clicking the Filter Icon on the top right of each category (looks like a funnel with a X). You can also refresh the page to bring it back to its original state.


All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.   Click here for more details.

Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.

Sunday, April 22, 2012

Charting Last Week (4/16 - 4/20/12)


The Daily Leading Index rose by .15% last week and the Daily Coincident Index fell by 3.23%.  The Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.

Below are charts of some of the economic releases from last week.  Housing Permits continued to rise.  The New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Surveys came in lower but still indicated expansion.  Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims rose slightly.

Both equities and bonds were up last week as equities continued to rally from the oversold territory.  EFA (International Developed Markets) led the group below with a 2.16% gain for the week.  The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.  The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.   Click here for more details.

Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.

Sunday, April 15, 2012

Charting Last Week (4/9 - 4/13/12)

The Daily Leading Index fell by .07% last week and the Daily Coincident Index was flat.  The Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.



Below are charts of some of the economic releases from last week.  CPI-U increased by .3% month over month while PPI was flat.  Year over year, the two increased 2.6% and 2.8% respectively.  Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims continued to slowly improve.




Last week, equities continued their two week slide, while bonds rallied.  All four equity groups (SPY, IWM, EFA, and EEM) shown below were in the oversold territory while AGG was in the overbought territory.  The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.  The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.


All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.   Click here for more details.

Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.

Sunday, April 8, 2012

Charting Last Week (4/2 - 4/6/12)


The Daily Leading Index fell by .15% last week and the Daily Coincident Index decreased by .05%.  The Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.
Below are charts of some of the economic releases from last week.  Nonfarm Payroll Employment came in weaker than expected with an increase of 120,000 jobs.  PMI rose at a faster rate, while growth in NMI slowed.  Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims continued to slowly improve.
The S&P 500 and bonds both fell for the week.  However bonds started to rally in the last few days.  On the international side, the developed markets (EFA) crossed over to the oversold level.  Below are six month charts of all four indices.  The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.  The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.   Click here for more details.

Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.

Wednesday, April 4, 2012

ISM Report on Business - March 2012

The March ISM Non-manufacturing index was reported today and was at 55.975, down .35% from the previous month.  Most of the components of the non-manufacturing report were down month over month.  On the other hand, PMI in the Manufacturing index that was released Monday was up month over month.  A reading above 50 percent indicates the sector is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates the is generally contracting. 


Below is an interactive graph. You can interact with the graph by choosing what to display. The INDICATOR category contains all 10 areas surveyed as well as the PMI and NMI composites. The choices in the MA/NMA category allow you to view the Manufacturing report (MA), the Non-manufacturing report (NMA), and a composite of the two.   The DATES category allows you to view specific periods of time.


If you left click on a category, the chart will update with only data for that item in that category. If you hold the CONTROL button down while left clicking, it will toggle that item on and off while leaving the other items in that category the same allowing you to add or subtract items. If you hold the SHIFT key down while left clicking, it will add all items in between where you clicked and the item you last clicked. You can clear all selections in a category by clicking the Filter Icon on the top right of each category (looks like a funnel with a X). You can also refresh the page to bring it back to its original state.


All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.   Click here for more details.

Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.

Sunday, April 1, 2012

Charting the Week - March 26-30

The Daily Leading Index rose by .20% last week while the Daily Coincident Index decreased by .22%. The Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.


Below are charts of some of the economic releases from last week.  New Orders of Durable Goods and Nondefense Capital Goods rose and Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims continued to slowly improve.

Both the S&P 500 and bonds rose for the week.  On the international side, the developed markets (EFA) continued to perform better than the emerging markets (EEM).   Below are six month charts of all four indices.  The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.  The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.


All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.   Click here for more details.

Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.