Sunday, March 10, 2013

Charting Last Week (3/4 - 3/8/13)

The Daily Leading Index rose by 0.74% percentage points to 6.41%. This is the highest the index has been since last June. The Daily Coincident Index rose to 2.02%. The Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week. Equities posted strong gains while bond prices were down sharply for the week. U.S. equities are once again in record territory. The S&P 500 (SPY) is now 11.3% higher than the previous highs set in 2007. The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range. The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range. There were not any updates to the International Leading Indices. The International Developed Markets (EFA) is at .50% and the Leading Index for International Emerging Markets (EEM) is at 5.58%. On the chart below, you can click on the blue and red buttons to see the Leading Indicator growth rate and an ETF for each country.
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Furthermore, these charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.